Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.265327 0.312244 0.367996 0.439979 0.531710 0.646456 0.803720
2025-02-02 0.200147 0.258445 0.337202 0.455003 0.633568 0.906737 1.384732
2025-02-09 0.162026 0.223273 0.314036 0.466008 0.731707 1.218425 2.306040
2025-02-16 0.138321 0.200352 0.299205 0.480826 0.840481 1.621229 3.879190
2025-02-23 0.120632 0.181684 0.284781 0.489354 0.940944 2.090257 6.451896
2025-03-02 0.106804 0.166029 0.270932 0.493175 1.033541 2.633417 10.769432
2025-03-09 0.095253 0.151930 0.256346 0.490160 1.109120 3.220965 17.912187
2025-03-16 0.085106 0.138558 0.240205 0.478459 1.156641 3.787259 29.127289
2025-03-23 0.079453 0.132453 0.237035 0.495900 1.301842 5.003207 64.495928
2025-03-30 0.072251 0.122354 0.223695 0.484065 1.347686 5.851930 122.183958
2025-04-06 0.067654 0.116668 0.218712 0.492748 1.474969 7.521482 354.397852
2025-04-13 0.062601 0.109425 0.209047 0.485781 1.540114 9.001166 1104.348347
2025-04-20 0.059207 0.105247 0.205894 0.497774 1.702568 12.078946 16104.859938
2025-04-27 0.056596 0.102385 0.205387 0.518239 1.930180 17.390630 NaN
2025-05-04 0.053883 0.098973 0.202977 0.532199 2.146206 24.761837 NaN
2025-05-11 0.051604 0.096227 0.201759 0.550152 2.413871 37.342071 NaN
2025-05-18 0.049204 0.092936 0.198598 0.560431 2.654789 55.449084 NaN
2025-05-25 0.046808 0.089396 0.194230 0.565028 2.871333 81.788817 NaN
2025-06-01 0.044344 0.085454 0.188197 0.561431 3.029067 116.142888 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041760 0.080997 0.180147 0.547452 3.089757 151.805332 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040510 0.079558 0.180349 0.568302 3.513028 309.225849 NaN
2025-06-22 0.038310 0.075657 0.172980 0.554150 3.574784 434.369764 NaN
2025-06-29 0.036980 0.073740 0.171144 0.564530 3.935508 964.816052 NaN